{
  "scope": "Conditional simulated populations. Target deviations are diagnostics, not historical census error. First saved exact adult coverage can miss intervening dates and does not establish actual human universality.",
  "attempts": [
    {
      "seed": 17001,
      "mix": 0.01,
      "file": "baseline-17001.json",
      "status": "accepted",
      "throughYear": 2026,
      "exodusAdultMen": 573801,
      "exodusCommunityAdults": 1536201,
      "exodusMovedIncludingJuvenileSurvivors": 2398255,
      "descendantAdultsOutsideCommunityAtExodus": 27535,
      "mixedParentBirthsDuringEgypt": 28996,
      "births": 5385734496,
      "migrationEvents": 315402400,
      "finalAdultPopulation": 54876491,
      "finalAdultDescendants": 54873544,
      "femaleLifetimeChildlessShare": 0.1634676318217643,
      "regionsAt2026": [
        {
          "region": "Eurasia",
          "modeledAdults": 37339744,
          "descendantAdults": 37339744,
          "descendantAdultShare": 1.0,
          "referenceTarget": 37307000,
          "relativeTargetDifference": 0.0008776905138445645
        },
        {
          "region": "Africa",
          "modeledAdults": 6229758,
          "descendantAdults": 6229758,
          "descendantAdultShare": 1.0,
          "referenceTarget": 6192000,
          "relativeTargetDifference": 0.00609786821705427
        },
        {
          "region": "North America",
          "modeledAdults": 4541517,
          "descendantAdults": 4541517,
          "descendantAdultShare": 1.0,
          "referenceTarget": 4639000,
          "relativeTargetDifference": -0.0210137960767407
        },
        {
          "region": "South America",
          "modeledAdults": 4137257,
          "descendantAdults": 4134310,
          "descendantAdultShare": 0.9992876923043456,
          "referenceTarget": 4234000,
          "relativeTargetDifference": -0.022849078885214924
        },
        {
          "region": "Indonesia",
          "modeledAdults": 1768877,
          "descendantAdults": 1768877,
          "descendantAdultShare": 1.0,
          "referenceTarget": 1788000,
          "relativeTargetDifference": -0.010695190156599588
        },
        {
          "region": "Australia",
          "modeledAdults": 309670,
          "descendantAdults": 309670,
          "descendantAdultShare": 1.0,
          "referenceTarget": 317000,
          "relativeTargetDifference": -0.0231230283911672
        },
        {
          "region": "Oceania",
          "modeledAdults": 425363,
          "descendantAdults": 425363,
          "descendantAdultShare": 1.0,
          "referenceTarget": 430000,
          "relativeTargetDifference": -0.01078372093023261
        },
        {
          "region": "New Zealand",
          "modeledAdults": 59033,
          "descendantAdults": 59033,
          "descendantAdultShare": 1.0,
          "referenceTarget": 53800.0,
          "relativeTargetDifference": 0.09726765799256509
        },
        {
          "region": "Hawaii",
          "modeledAdults": 49354,
          "descendantAdults": 49354,
          "descendantAdultShare": 1.0,
          "referenceTarget": 30700.0,
          "relativeTargetDifference": 0.6076221498371335
        },
        {
          "region": "Greenland",
          "modeledAdults": 15076,
          "descendantAdults": 15076,
          "descendantAdultShare": 1.0,
          "referenceTarget": 9000,
          "relativeTargetDifference": 0.6751111111111112
        },
        {
          "region": "Chatham Islands",
          "modeledAdults": 827,
          "descendantAdults": 827,
          "descendantAdultShare": 1.0,
          "referenceTarget": 800.0,
          "relativeTargetDifference": 0.03374999999999995
        },
        {
          "region": "Easter Island",
          "modeledAdults": 15,
          "descendantAdults": 15,
          "descendantAdultShare": 1.0,
          "referenceTarget": 0,
          "relativeTargetDifference": null
        }
      ],
      "firstSavedExactAdultCoverageYear": null,
      "allLivingSurvivorsDescendAt2026": false
    },
    {
      "seed": 17002,
      "mix": 0.01,
      "file": "baseline-17002.json",
      "status": "accepted",
      "throughYear": 2026,
      "exodusAdultMen": 575432,
      "exodusCommunityAdults": 1626801,
      "exodusMovedIncludingJuvenileSurvivors": 2406205,
      "descendantAdultsOutsideCommunityAtExodus": 30044,
      "mixedParentBirthsDuringEgypt": 30304,
      "births": 5386668864,
      "migrationEvents": 315497005,
      "finalAdultPopulation": 54892035,
      "finalAdultDescendants": 54892035,
      "femaleLifetimeChildlessShare": 0.16348443256164008,
      "regionsAt2026": [
        {
          "region": "Eurasia",
          "modeledAdults": 37348966,
          "descendantAdults": 37348966,
          "descendantAdultShare": 1.0,
          "referenceTarget": 37307000,
          "relativeTargetDifference": 0.001124882729782506
        },
        {
          "region": "Africa",
          "modeledAdults": 6231145,
          "descendantAdults": 6231145,
          "descendantAdultShare": 1.0,
          "referenceTarget": 6192000,
          "relativeTargetDifference": 0.006321866925064645
        },
        {
          "region": "North America",
          "modeledAdults": 4549124,
          "descendantAdults": 4549124,
          "descendantAdultShare": 1.0,
          "referenceTarget": 4639000,
          "relativeTargetDifference": -0.019374003017891828
        },
        {
          "region": "South America",
          "modeledAdults": 4131037,
          "descendantAdults": 4131037,
          "descendantAdultShare": 1.0,
          "referenceTarget": 4234000,
          "relativeTargetDifference": -0.024318138875767614
        },
        {
          "region": "Indonesia",
          "modeledAdults": 1767574,
          "descendantAdults": 1767574,
          "descendantAdultShare": 1.0,
          "referenceTarget": 1788000,
          "relativeTargetDifference": -0.011423937360178993
        },
        {
          "region": "Australia",
          "modeledAdults": 311413,
          "descendantAdults": 311413,
          "descendantAdultShare": 1.0,
          "referenceTarget": 317000,
          "relativeTargetDifference": -0.01762460567823343
        },
        {
          "region": "Oceania",
          "modeledAdults": 427910,
          "descendantAdults": 427910,
          "descendantAdultShare": 1.0,
          "referenceTarget": 430000,
          "relativeTargetDifference": -0.0048604651162790224
        },
        {
          "region": "New Zealand",
          "modeledAdults": 59270,
          "descendantAdults": 59270,
          "descendantAdultShare": 1.0,
          "referenceTarget": 53800.0,
          "relativeTargetDifference": 0.10167286245353169
        },
        {
          "region": "Hawaii",
          "modeledAdults": 49705,
          "descendantAdults": 49705,
          "descendantAdultShare": 1.0,
          "referenceTarget": 30700.0,
          "relativeTargetDifference": 0.6190553745928338
        },
        {
          "region": "Greenland",
          "modeledAdults": 15021,
          "descendantAdults": 15021,
          "descendantAdultShare": 1.0,
          "referenceTarget": 9000,
          "relativeTargetDifference": 0.669
        },
        {
          "region": "Chatham Islands",
          "modeledAdults": 861,
          "descendantAdults": 861,
          "descendantAdultShare": 1.0,
          "referenceTarget": 800.0,
          "relativeTargetDifference": 0.07624999999999993
        },
        {
          "region": "Easter Island",
          "modeledAdults": 9,
          "descendantAdults": 9,
          "descendantAdultShare": 1.0,
          "referenceTarget": 0,
          "relativeTargetDifference": null
        }
      ],
      "firstSavedExactAdultCoverageYear": 1475,
      "allLivingSurvivorsDescendAt2026": true
    },
    {
      "seed": 17003,
      "mix": 0.05,
      "file": "mixing-17003.json",
      "status": "excluded",
      "throughYear": -1446,
      "exodusAdultMen": 537967,
      "exodusCommunityAdults": 1444317,
      "exodusMovedIncludingJuvenileSurvivors": 2229522,
      "descendantAdultsOutsideCommunityAtExodus": 109351,
      "mixedParentBirthsDuringEgypt": 141726,
      "births": 435345888,
      "migrationEvents": 21134600,
      "finalAdultPopulation": 37381204,
      "finalAdultDescendants": 1552707,
      "femaleLifetimeChildlessShare": 0.15989776693572033
    },
    {
      "seed": 17004,
      "mix": 0.05,
      "file": "mixing-17004.json",
      "status": "excluded",
      "throughYear": -1446,
      "exodusAdultMen": 522553,
      "exodusCommunityAdults": 1379497,
      "exodusMovedIncludingJuvenileSurvivors": 2204249,
      "descendantAdultsOutsideCommunityAtExodus": 102032,
      "mixedParentBirthsDuringEgypt": 128671,
      "births": 435094309,
      "migrationEvents": 21138538,
      "finalAdultPopulation": 37338772,
      "finalAdultDescendants": 1480537,
      "femaleLifetimeChildlessShare": 0.1599566649514856
    },
    {
      "seed": 17005,
      "mix": 0.05,
      "file": "mixing-17005.json",
      "status": "excluded",
      "throughYear": -1446,
      "exodusAdultMen": 500117,
      "exodusCommunityAdults": 1315185,
      "exodusMovedIncludingJuvenileSurvivors": 2133773,
      "descendantAdultsOutsideCommunityAtExodus": 95376,
      "mixedParentBirthsDuringEgypt": 123107,
      "births": 434932771,
      "migrationEvents": 21131161,
      "finalAdultPopulation": 37249923,
      "finalAdultDescendants": 1409533,
      "femaleLifetimeChildlessShare": 0.15992013203718397
    },
    {
      "seed": 17006,
      "mix": 0.05,
      "file": "mixing-17006.json",
      "status": "accepted",
      "throughYear": 2026,
      "exodusAdultMen": 542398,
      "exodusCommunityAdults": 1475078,
      "exodusMovedIncludingJuvenileSurvivors": 2250576,
      "descendantAdultsOutsideCommunityAtExodus": 107052,
      "mixedParentBirthsDuringEgypt": 140526,
      "births": 5385692098,
      "migrationEvents": 315437517,
      "finalAdultPopulation": 54896068,
      "finalAdultDescendants": 54896068,
      "femaleLifetimeChildlessShare": 0.16347206213932128,
      "regionsAt2026": [
        {
          "region": "Eurasia",
          "modeledAdults": 37364909,
          "descendantAdults": 37364909,
          "descendantAdultShare": 1.0,
          "referenceTarget": 37307000,
          "relativeTargetDifference": 0.00155222880424577
        },
        {
          "region": "Africa",
          "modeledAdults": 6233489,
          "descendantAdults": 6233489,
          "descendantAdultShare": 1.0,
          "referenceTarget": 6192000,
          "relativeTargetDifference": 0.006700419896640719
        },
        {
          "region": "North America",
          "modeledAdults": 4539275,
          "descendantAdults": 4539275,
          "descendantAdultShare": 1.0,
          "referenceTarget": 4639000,
          "relativeTargetDifference": -0.021497089890062493
        },
        {
          "region": "South America",
          "modeledAdults": 4127107,
          "descendantAdults": 4127107,
          "descendantAdultShare": 1.0,
          "referenceTarget": 4234000,
          "relativeTargetDifference": -0.025246339159187503
        },
        {
          "region": "Indonesia",
          "modeledAdults": 1770430,
          "descendantAdults": 1770430,
          "descendantAdultShare": 1.0,
          "referenceTarget": 1788000,
          "relativeTargetDifference": -0.009826621923937351
        },
        {
          "region": "Australia",
          "modeledAdults": 309172,
          "descendantAdults": 309172,
          "descendantAdultShare": 1.0,
          "referenceTarget": 317000,
          "relativeTargetDifference": -0.02469400630914831
        },
        {
          "region": "Oceania",
          "modeledAdults": 426465,
          "descendantAdults": 426465,
          "descendantAdultShare": 1.0,
          "referenceTarget": 430000,
          "relativeTargetDifference": -0.008220930232558099
        },
        {
          "region": "New Zealand",
          "modeledAdults": 59511,
          "descendantAdults": 59511,
          "descendantAdultShare": 1.0,
          "referenceTarget": 53800.0,
          "relativeTargetDifference": 0.10615241635687722
        },
        {
          "region": "Hawaii",
          "modeledAdults": 49559,
          "descendantAdults": 49559,
          "descendantAdultShare": 1.0,
          "referenceTarget": 30700.0,
          "relativeTargetDifference": 0.614299674267101
        },
        {
          "region": "Greenland",
          "modeledAdults": 15300,
          "descendantAdults": 15300,
          "descendantAdultShare": 1.0,
          "referenceTarget": 9000,
          "relativeTargetDifference": 0.7
        },
        {
          "region": "Chatham Islands",
          "modeledAdults": 841,
          "descendantAdults": 841,
          "descendantAdultShare": 1.0,
          "referenceTarget": 800.0,
          "relativeTargetDifference": 0.05125000000000002
        },
        {
          "region": "Easter Island",
          "modeledAdults": 10,
          "descendantAdults": 10,
          "descendantAdultShare": 1.0,
          "referenceTarget": 0,
          "relativeTargetDifference": null
        }
      ],
      "firstSavedExactAdultCoverageYear": 1650,
      "allLivingSurvivorsDescendAt2026": true
    }
  ]
}
